Average market behaviour in February

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during February since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

FTSE 100 average month chart for February [1985-2013]As can be seen, historically the market has generally risen for the first two and a half weeks of February, and then fallen back a little in the final week and a half.

January 2014

The following chart shows the average performance of the market in January (1984-2013) and overlays the actual performance in January 2014.

FTSE 100 average month chart for January [1985-2013]

In January 2014 the big difference from the average January was the big share sell-off in the final week and a half.

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in January

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during January since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

Average month chart - Jan (2014)As can be seen, historically the market starts strong the first few days but then sells off for two weeks, until rebounding strongly in the final week of the month.

December 2013

The following chart shows the average performance of the market in December (1984-2013) and overlays the actual performance in December 2013.

Average month chart - Dec overlay Dec 2013 (2013)In December 2013 the market was weaker than usual in the first couple of weeks, but the market then followed the historical trend when the Santa rally kicked in around the 10th trading day of the month.

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in December

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during December since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).Average month chart - Dec (2013)

As can be seen, historically the market has traded fairly flat for the first two weeks of December and then risen very strongly in the second half of the month.

November 2013

The following chart shows the average performance of the market in November (1984-2012) and overlays the actual performance in November 2013.

Average month chart - Nov plus Nov 2013 (2013)

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in November

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during November since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

As can be seen, historically the market has increased, with a few ups and downs, throughout November, ending the month at the month high.

October 2013

The following chart shows the average performance of the market in October (1984-2012) and overlays the actual performance in October 2013.

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in September

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during September since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

Average month chart of September for FTSE 100 Index

As can be seen, historically the market has declined steadily throughout September, somewhat leveling out in the final week.


 August 2013

The average chart for August was posted a month ago here. The following reproduces that chart and overlays the actual FTSE 100 for August 2013.

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in August

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during August since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

Average behaviour of the FTSE 100 Index in August

As can be seen, on average the market tends to trade flat for the first couple of weeks and then to rise gently in the second half of the month.


July 2013

The average chart for June was posted a month ago here. The following reproduces that chart and overlays the actual FTSE 100 for July 2013.

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in July

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during July since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

Average market behaviour in July, FTSE 100

The chart shows that on average, the market rises for the first week of July, then drifts lower for the following two weeks, but ends strongly in the final week.


June 2013

The average chart for June was posted a month ago here. The following reproduces that chart and overlays the actual FTSE 100 for June 2013.

In an average June the market is weak; this was true also in 2013, but the market was much weaker than in an average year.

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in June

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during June since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

The chart shows that on average, after an initial strong couple of days, the market tends to steadily drift lower for the rest of the month.


May 2013

The average chart for May was posted a month ago here. The following reproduces that chart and overlays the actual FTSE 100 for May 2013.

In an average May the market trades fairly flat for the first couple of weeks and then sells off from the 11th trading day of the month. This year, the market was unusually strong for the first three weeks and then sold off from the 15th trading day of the month.

 

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in May

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during May since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

Average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during May since 1984

The chart shows that on average the market trades fairly flat for the first two weeks of the month, the third week sees a sell off, with final bounce back in the last few days.


April 2013

The average chart for April was posted a month ago here. The following reproduces that chart and overlays the actual FTSE 100 for April 2013.

Average chart for April 2013 with overlay of the actual FTSE 100 for April 2013

In an average April the market climbs steadily throughout the month. This year, the market started weak, then recovered during the latter half of the month.

Social Share Toolbar

Average market behaviour in April

The following chart plots the average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during April since 1984 (more info on this type of chart).

Average performance of the FTSE 100 Index during April since 1984

The chart shows that on average the market steadily climbs throughout the whole month ending at the month’s high.


March 2013

The average chart for March was posted a month ago here. The following reproduces that chart and overlays the actual FTSE 100 for March 2013.

Average chart for Mar 2013 with overlay of the actual FTSE 100 for Mar 2013

On average the UK market climbs for the first three weeks of March and then falls back towards the end of the month; this year the market broadly followed the overall pattern, except shifted forward by a week: the market peaked at the end of the second week and then tailed off to the month end.

Social Share Toolbar