Last trading day of March

Today is the last trading day (LTD) of March (and therefore also the last trading day of the first quarter).

As explained in the 2013 edition of the Almanac the LTDs of months used to be stronger than average, but in recent years they have been weak. This is quite different from the first trading days of months which strongly out-perform the average for all days, and where the effect has strengthened in recent years.

Since 1984 the market has on average risen 0.12% on the LTD of March, but it is not one of the stronger month LTDs of the year.

Since 2000, however, it has been the third strongest month LTD, with an average return of 0.26% on the day.

The following chart shows the FTSE 100 Index returns for every March LTD since 1984.

March last trading day returns for 1984 to 2012

 

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