Shares that like November

Shares that have been strong November

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in November over the last ten years. For example, Babcock has an average return of 4.6% for the month of November. Each stock has risen in at least eight of the past ten years in November.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Babcock International Group 4.6
Compass Group 4.5
CRH 4.3
BT Group 5.3
Greene King 4.8

A portfolio of these four stocks would have out-performed the FTSE 350 Index in November in nine of the last ten years with an average out-performance of 5.2 percentage points each November.

Shares that have been weak November

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in November over the last ten years. For example, Vedanta Reseources has an average return of -10.5% for the month of November. Each stock has fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in November.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Vedanta Resources -10.5
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) -8.7
Tullett Prebon -7.8
Ashmore Group -5.3
Standard Chartered -3.7

A portfolio of these five stocks would have under-performed the FTSE 350 Index in November in eight of the last last ten years with an average under-performance of 6.7 percentage points each November.

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Bounceback portfolio 2016

The Bounceback Portfolio invests in the 10 worst performing FTSE 350 stocks of the previous year and holds them for the 3-month period, January-March. 

Performance in 2016

The following table lists the ten worst performing FTSE 350 stocks in 2015. These ten stocks form the 2016 Bounceback Portfolio.

Company TIDM 2015 2016 (Jan-Mar)
Anglo American -75.1 84.4
Glencore -69.7 73.9
KAZ Minerals -60.3 66.7
Tullow Oil -60.0 18.8
Evraz -52.6 22.9
Vedanta Resources -52.1 24.6
Home Retail Group -52.0 66.6
Amec Foster Wheeler -49.7 4.9
Drax Group -46.9 11.3
Weir Group -46.0 10.8
FTSE 350 -2.8 -1.4

The final column in the above table also gives the returns for each stock for the period Jan-Mar 2016. For example, Anglo American shares fell 75.1% in 2015, and then rose (bounced back) 84.4% in the first three months of 2016.

The performance of the 10 Bounceback Portfolio stocks for Jan-Mar 2016 is shown in the following chart.

Bounceback portfolio 2016

On average the Bounceback Portfolio stocks had a 3-month return of 38.5%, compared with a FTSE 350 Index return of -1.4% for the same period.

Bounceback portfolio performance 2003-2016

The Bounceback Portfolio has been running since 2003. The following chart shows the comparative performance of the portfolio and the FTSE 350 Index for each year.

Bounceback portfolio v FTSE 350 [2003-2016]

As can be seen the Bounceback Portfolio scored its greatest out-performance of the FTSE 350 in 2016.

Since 2003, the Bounceback Portfolio has under-performed the index only twice (2013 and 2015).

The following chart shows the cumulative performance of the portfolio from 2003.

Bounceback portfolio cumulative performance [2003-2016]

 

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