Shares that like/dislike November

Shares that like November

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in November over the last ten years. For example, Babock has an average return of 8.0% for the month of November. Each stock has risen in at least nine of the past ten years in November.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Babcock International Group 8.0
Shire 5.4
Tate & Lyle 5.2
Compass Group 4.6
Premier Farnell 3.9

Shares that dislike November

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in November over the last ten years. For example, Rentokil Initial has an average return of -6.0% for the month of November. All five stocks have fallen in eight of the past ten years in November.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Tullett Prebon -6.2
Rentokil Initial -6.0
AstraZeneca -2.6
Greggs -2.4
Herald Investment Trust -2.2

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong November stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak November stocks by an average of 9.3 percentage points in November for the past ten years.

 

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Shares that like/dislike September

Shares that like September

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in September over the last ten years. For example, Diploma has an average return of 6.3% for the month of September. Each stock has risen in at least eight of the past ten years in September – Diploma is the only stock in the FTSE 350 whose shares have risen nine times in September in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Ashtead Group 8.4
Aberdeen Asset Management 8.0
JPMorgan Indian Investment Trust 6.6
Diploma 6.3
Carnival 4.1

Shares that dislike September

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in September over the last ten years. For example, Premier Farnell has an average return of -8.0% for the month of September. All five stocks have fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in September; Premier Farnell is the only stock in the FTSE 350 whose shares have fallen nine times in September in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Premier Farnell -8.0
Pace -8.0
Compass Group -4.8
SVG Capital -3.7
Carpetright -3.7

Strategy

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong September stocks would have out-performed an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak September stocks by an average of 12.3 percentage points in September for the past ten years.

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Support Services sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Support Services sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Support Services sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 1.2 percentage points in January.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been January and December – the sector has under-performed the market only four times in December in the last 14 years.
  2. The weakest month has been July – the sector has out-performed the market only four times in July in the last 14 years.

The 23 stocks in the FTSE 350 Support Services sector [NMX2790] are-

Aggreko [AGK] Filtrona [FLTR]
Ashtead Group [AHT] G4S [GFS]
Atkins (W S) [ATK] Hays [HAS]
Babcock International Group [BAB] Homeserve [HSV]
Berendsen [BRSN] Howden Joinery Group [HWDN]
Bunzl [BNZL] Interserve [IRV]
Capita Group (The) [CPI] Intertek Group [ITRK]
Carillion [CLLN] Menzies (John) [MNZS]
De La Rue [DLAR] Michael Page International [MPI]
Diploma [DPLM] MITIE Group [MTO]
Electrocomponents [ECM] PayPoint [PAY]
Experian [EXPN]
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