UK equity indices returns 2016 1Q

The following chart plots the performance of UK equity indices in the first quarter 2016.

UK equity indices 2016 1Q
The data for the chart is given in the following table.

Index Rtn(%)
FTSE 100 Index – Total Return 0.1
FTSE All-Share – Total Return -0.4
FTSE UK Dividend Plus -0.9
FTSE 100 -1.1
FTSE Fledgling -1.2
FTSE 350 -1.4
FTSE All-Share -1.4
FTSE SmallCap -2.0
FTSE4Good UK -2.6
FTSE4Good UK 50 -2.9
FTSE 250 -2.9
FTSE AIM All-Share -3.8
FTSE TechMARK Focus Index -3.8
FTSE TechMARK All Share -4.0
FTSE AIM 100 -5.2

 

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UK sector performance – 2015: Y, 2H, 4Q

The following charts plot the performance of UK FTSE 350 sector indices in 2015 for the whole year, second half and fourth quarter.

Full year

Sector returns for January – December 2015

UK sector indices 2015

Second half

Sector returns for July – December 2015

UK sector indices 2015 2H

Fourth quarter

Sector returns for October – December 2015

UK sector indices 2015 4Q

Consolidated

The above three time periods (1Y, 2H, 4Q) are consolidated into the one chart below.

FTSE 350 sectors in 2015 1Y  2H  4Q

The following table summarises the data for the chart.

Index TIDM 2015 4Q 2015 2H 2015 Y
Aerospace & Defense -1.4 -9.9 -12.9
Automobiles & Parts 15.1 -7.8 -10.4
Banks 0.2 -13.1 -12.7
Beverages 6.5 9.4 8.9
Chemicals 6.9 -2.2 -4.8
Construction & Materials 10.6 8.3 25.4
Electricity 2.0 -3.0 -10.2
Electronic & Electrical Equipment 7.7 -0.8 4.9
Equity Investment Instruments 6.3 0.0 3.0
Financial Services 6.6 1.1 10.8
Fixed Line Telecommunications 11.2 2.8 16.4
Food & Drug Retailers -11.0 -19.9 -11.7
Food Producers 3.8 16.7 8.8
Forestry & Paper -3.5 -2.7 27.1
Gas, Water & Multiutilities 0.9 5.1 -3.2
General Industrials 5.7 -0.7 12.9
General Retailers -2.6 -5.2 0.9
Health Care Equipment & Services 6.4 14.1 7.6
Household Goods & Home Construction 4.2 10.3 28.8
Industrial Engineering 1.7 -16.6 -19.1
Industrial Metals 0.5 -40.5 -52.6
Industrial Transportation -1.3 -15.2 -8.1
Life Insurance 9.2 0.6 3.7
Media 4.9 4.0 13.5
Mining -14.7 -41.8 -48.6
Mobile Telecommunications 6.7 -2.1 1.7
Nonlife Insurance 6.1 18.8 27.1
Oil & Gas Producers 1.6 -14.5 -20.6
Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution -16.0 -27.4 -20.9
Personal Goods 5.3 1.4 4.9
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 8.0 5.4 1.4
Real Estate Investment & Services -2.2 -2.3 14.8
Real Estate Investment Trusts -3.2 2.2 6.6
Software & Computer Services 16.1 12.7 32.4
Support Services 5.7 -3.0 5.7
Technology Hardware & Equipment 9.1 1.9 7.1
Tobacco 4.0 12.5 13.3
Travel & Leisure 7.3 8.4 12.4
FTSE 350 3.2 -3.6 -2.8
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UK equity indices performance – 2015: Y, 2H, 4Q

The following charts plot the performance of UK equity indices in 2015 for the whole year, second half and fourth quarter.

Full year

Index returns for January – December 2015

UK equity indices 2015

Second half

Index returns for July – December 2015

UK equity indices 2015 2H

Fourth quarter

Index returns for October – December 2015

UK equity indices 2015 4Q

 

Consolidated

The above three time periods (1Y, 2H, 4Q) are consolidated into the one chart below.

UK equity indices in 2015 (4Q, 2H, Y)

The following table summarises the data for the chart.

Index TIDM 2015 4Q 2015 2H 2015 Y
FTSE 100 3.0 -4.3 -4.9
FTSE 100 Index – Total Return 3.7 -2.6 -1.3
FTSE 250 4.5 -0.6 8.4
FTSE 350 3.2 -3.6 -2.8
FTSE AIM 100 6.1 4.2 14.4
FTSE AIM All-Share 1.9 -2.2 5.2
FTSE All-Share 3.3 -3.4 -2.4
FTSE All-Share – Total Return 4.0 -1.9 1.1
FTSE Fledgling 0.4 -2.6 12.7
FTSE SmallCap 3.5 -0.8 6.2
FTSE TechMARK All Share 8.1 5.6 9.9
FTSE TechMARK Focus Index 8.5 6.5 14.4
FTSE UK Dividend Plus -1.0 -7.3 -3.3
FTSE4Good UK 3.1 -3.0 -2.3
FTSE4Good UK 50 2.5 -4.3 -5.3

 

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The Santa Rally Portfolio 2015

The Santa Rally describes the tendency of the stock market to perform strongly in the final two weeks of the year (more info).

The Santa Rally Portfolio comprises the 10 best performing FTSE 350 shares over the Santa Rally period (i.e. roughly the last two weeks of the year) over the last 10 years. The characteristics of the 10 stocks in the portfolio are:

  1. All 10 stocks have positive returns over the two-week Santa Rally period for every year since 2005.
  2. The 10 stocks have the highest average returns of all FTSE 350 stocks over the Santa Rally periods of the last 10 years.

The following table lists these ten shares and their average returns over the Santa Rally periods for the last 10 years.

Company TIDM Avg Rtn(%)
Ashtead Group 7.3
FirstGroup 6.6
Vesuvius 6.4
Croda International 5.9
Informa 5.3
British Land Co 4.9
Spectris 4.8
Pennon Group 4.4
G4S 4.4
Balfour Beatty 4.2

The following chart compares the performance of the Santa Rally Portfolio with the FTSE 350 Index for the past 10 years.

Santa Rally Portfolio [2015]Notes:

  1. The FTSE 350 Index has had positive returns in every Santa Rally period since 2005 except 2012. The average return for the Index over this period for the last 10 years is 2.2%. Last year, in 2014, although the Index was down 1.7% in December as a whole, it actually rose 4.3% in the second two weeks of the month.
  2. The Santa Rally Portfolio has had positive returns every year since 2005. The average return for the Portfolio over the last 10 years is 5.4%, thus out-performing the FTSE 350 each year by 3.2 percentage points.

More on the Santa Rally.

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2Q 2015 UK equity markets performance

The following chart shows the performance of the main UK stock market indices in the second quarter 2015.

2015 2Q UK equity markets returns

As in the first quarter, small caps easily out-performed large caps.

Data

The data for the above chart is shown in the following table.

Index 2Q 2015 Rtn(%)
FTSE Fledgling 7.7
FTSE AIM All-Share 5.5
FTSE AIM 100 4.8
FTSE 250 2.6
FTSE SmallCap 1.7
FTSE TechMARK Focus Index 0.1
FTSE All-Share – Total Return -1.6
FTSE UK Dividend Plus -1.7
FTSE TechMARK All Share -1.9
FTSE All-Share -2.5
FTSE 350 -2.7
FTSE 100 Index – Total Return -2.8
FTSE4Good UK -2.9
FTSE 100 -3.7
FTSE4Good UK 50 -4.0

1H 2015

The following chart shows the performance of the main UK stock market indices in the first half of 2015.

2015 1H UK equity markets returns

 

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2015 1Q market review – comparative performance of UK equity indices

The following chart shows the performance of the main UK stock market indices in the first quarter 2015.

UK indices comparative returns 2015 1Q

The relative performance was fairly typical for a first quarter (e.g. 2014 1Q). For example, small and mid-caps (e.g. FTSE Fledgling, FTSE 250 and FTSE SmallCap) greatly outperformed the large caps (FTSE 100).

Data

The data for the above chart is shown in the following table.

Index 2015 1Q Rtn(%)
FTSE Fledgling 7.4
FTSE TechMARK Focus Index 7.3
FTSE 250 6.2
FTSE TechMARK All Share 6.1
FTSE UK Dividend Plus 6.1
FTSE SmallCap 5.3
FTSE AIM 100 4.8
FTSE All-Share – Total Return 4.7
FTSE 100 Index – Total Return 4.2
FTSE All-Share 3.7
FTSE4Good UK 3.7
FTSE 350 3.6
FTSE 100 3.2
FTSE4Good UK 50 3.0
FTSE AIM All-Share 2.0

 

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Bounceback Portfolio 2014 – Result

The idea of the Bounceback Portfolio is that a portfolio of the 10 worst performing FTSE 350 stocks in one year has historically beaten the index in the first three months of the following year. The selection of the Bounceback Portfolio stocks for 2014 was described in this earlier post.

The following chart shows the performance of the stocks in the Bounceback Portfolio 2014 over the first three months of the year.

Performance of Bounceback Portfolio 2014The portfolio as a whole increased 9.2% in the first quarter 2014, which beat the -1.6% return for the FTSE 350 Index.

This means the Bounceback Portfolio strategy has now beaten the index in 12 of the past 13 years (the one failure was last year).

Other posts on the Bounceback Portfolio.

 

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2014 1Q market review – comparative performance of UK equity indices

The following chart shows the performance of the main UK stock market indices in the first quarter 2014.

UK indices comparative returns 2014 1Qb

Continuing the trend of 2013, the FTSE Fledgling, 250 and Small Cap indices out-performed the FTSE 100.

The data for the above chart is shown in the following table.

Index 2014 1Q Rtn(%)
FTSE Fledgling 5.0
FTSE 250 2.1
FTSE SmallCap 0.9
FTSE AIM All-Share 0.0
FTSE UK Dividend Plus -0.3
FTSE All-Share – Total Return -0.6
FTSE TechMARK All Share -0.6
FTSE AIM 100 -1.2
FTSE 100 Index – Total Return -1.3
FTSE All-Share -1.5
FTSE 350 -1.6
FTSE4Good UK -1.8
FTSE 100 -2.2
FTSE4Good UK 50 -2.8

 

 

 

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2014 1Q market review – comparative performance of FTSE 350 sectors

The following chart shows the performance of the FTSE 350 stock sectors in the first quarter 2014.

FTSE 350 sector performance 2014 1Q26 of the 38 sectors out-performed the FTSE 100 Index in the first quarter of 2014.

The data for the above chart are given in the following table.

FTSE 350 Sector TIDM Rtn 2014 1Q (%)
General Retailers 11.2
Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution 11.1
Real Estate Investment & Services 7.8
Construction & Materials 7.4
Health Care Equipment & Services 7.1
Real Estate Investment Trusts 5.3
Electricity 5.0
Automobiles & Parts 4.6
Household Goods 4.1
Food Producers 3.4
Tobacco 3.2
Gas, Water & Multiutilities 3.0
Industrial Engineering 2.5
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 2.5
Chemicals 2.2
Financial Services 2.2
Software & Computer Services 2.2
Support Services 1.8
Industrial Transportation 1.7
Mining 1.4
Nonlife Insurance 1.2
Travel & Leisure 0.5
Equity Investment Instruments 0.3
Forestry & Paper 0.3
Fixed Line Telecommunications 0.2
Life Insurance -1.9
FTSE 100 -2.2
Oil & Gas Producers -2.6
Technology Hardware & Equipment -4.0
Beverages -5.7
Media -5.9
Electronic & Electrical Equipment -6.1
Personal Goods -6.2
Banks -8.8
General Industrials -8.8
Aerospace & Defense -9.3
Mobile Telecommunications -10.3
Food & Drug Retailers -11.0
Industrial Metals -24.7

 

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