FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 Quarterly Review – December 2017

After market close on 29 November 2017 FTSE Russell confirmed the following changes to the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 indices. The changes will be implemented at the close Friday, 15 December 2017 and take effect from the start of trading on Monday, 18 December 2017.

FTSE 100

Joining: Smith (DS) [SMDS], Just Eat [JE.], Halma [HLMA]

Leaving: ConvaTec Group [CTEC], Merlin Entertainments [MERL], Babcock International Group [BAB]

FTSE 250

Joining: BCA Marketplace [BCA], F&C Global Smaller Companies [FCS], Purecircle [PURE], RHI Magnesita [RHIM], TI Fluid Systems [TIFS]

Leaving: Electra Private Equity [ELTA], Nostrum Oil & Gas [NOG], PayPoint [PAY], P2P Global Investments [P2P], Restaurant Group [RTN]

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Shares that like/dislike June

Shares that like June

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Halma has an average return of 6.1% for the month of June. Each stock has risen in June in nine of the past ten years, while Synergy Health is the only FTSE 350 stock to have risen in June for all last ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Synergy Health 10.6
Halma 6.1
Ted Baker 4.7
BT Group 3.3

Shares that dislike June

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Barclays has an average return of -6.5% for the month of June. All four stocks have fallen in June in at least nine of the past yen years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Barclays -6.5
Vesuvius -5.2
United Utilities Group -4.7
Rotork -2.8

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong June stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak June stocks by an average of 11.0 percentage points in June for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike June

Shares that like June

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Halma has an average return of 7.3% for the month of June. Each stock has risen in at least nine of the past ten years in June – Halma and Synergy are the only two stocks in the FTSE 350 whose shares have risen every June in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
BT Group 3.7
Halma 7.3
Synergy Health 13.8
Ted Baker 4.2

A portfolio of these four stocks would have out-performed the FTSE 350 Index in June in nine of the last ten years with an average out-performance of 7.9 percentage points each June.

Shares that dislike June

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Land Securities has an average return of -3.6% for the month of June. Each stock has fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in June.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Barclays -4.8
Land Securities Group -3.6
Rotork -2.3
United Utilities Group -4.1
Vesuvius -4.7

A portfolio of these five stocks would have under-performed the FTSE 350 Index in every June over the last ten years with an average under-performance of 3.2 percentage points each June.

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Electronic & Electrical Equipment sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Electronic & Electrical Equipment sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Electronic & Electrical Equipment sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the Electronic & Electrical Equipment sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 7.7 percentage points in January.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months are January, April and November – the sector has under-performed the market only twice in the past 13 years in January.
  2. The weakest months have been February and September – the sector has out-performed the market only four times in September in the last 14 years.

The seven stocks in the FTSE 350 Electronic & Electrical Equipment sector [NMX2730] are-

Dialight [DIA] Oxford Instruments  [OXIG]
Domino Printing Services [DNO] Renishaw [RSW]
Halma [HLMA] Spectris [SXS]
Morgan Crucible Company (The) [MGCR]
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