First trading day of April

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of April.

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has a return average of 0.5% on the April FTD, which makes it the second strongest FTD of the year. The index has risen on the April FTD every year since 2003. Since 2000 the April FTD average return has been even higher at 0.82%.

The following chart shows the returns for every April FTD since 1984.

First trading day of April  (1984-2013) [2014]a

 

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First trading day of March

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of March.

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has a return average of 0% on the March FTD, which makes it the second weakest FTD of the year. However, as can be seen from the chart, the average performance is greatly influenced by the fall of over 5% on the March FTD in 2009.

The following chart shows the returns for every March FTD since 1984.

FTSE 100 first trading day of March (1984-2013)

 

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First trading day of February

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of February.

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years. This can be seen clearly in the chart below.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.61% on the February FTD – this is 20 times the average return on all days of 0.03%. This makes it the strongest month FTD of the year. There have been positive returns on the February FTD in 59% of years.

Since 2000, the performance has been even stronger on the February FTD, with an average return of 0.93% and positive returns in 11 of the past 14 years – which make it still the strongest month FTD of the year.

The following chart shows the returns for every February FTD since 1984.

FTSE 100 First trading day February (1984-2013) [2014]

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First trading day of January

Thursday will be the first trading day (FTD) of January.

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.43% on the January FTD, and has had positive returns on that day in 62% of years. This makes it the fourth strongest month FTD of the year.

Since 2000, the performance has been even stronger on the January FTD, with an average return of 0.82% and positive returns in 11 of the past 14 years.

The following chart shows the returns for every January FTD since 1984.

FTE 100 First Trading Day in  January [1984-2013] (2014)

 

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First trading day of December

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has fallen on average 0.01% on the December FTD – it is the only month of the year with a negative average return on the FTD.

Since 2000, the performance has been a little stronger on the December FTD, but it is still one of the weakest month FTDs in the year.

The following chart shows the returns for every December FTD since 1984.

FTSE 100 First Trading Day for December (1984-2012)

 

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First trading day of November

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of November.

As explained in the 2013 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.17% on the November FTD. The index has had a positive return on this day in 66% of years since 1984.

Since 2000, the performance has been a little stronger on the November FTD, with an average return of 0.23% on the day.

The following chart shows the returns for every November FTD since 1984.

 

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First trading day of October

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of October.

As explained in the 2013 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.19% on the October FTD. The index has had a positive return on this day in 62% of years since 1984.

The following chart shows the returns for every October FTD since 1984.

First trading day of the month for October for the FTSE 100 Index

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First trading day of September

Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of September.

As explained in the 2013 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.25% on the September FTD – ranking it 5th of all the monthly FTDs. The index has had a positive return on this day in 66% of years since 1984.

The following chart shows the returns for every September FTD since 1984.

First trading day of September returns for FTSE 100 Index since [1984-2012]

 

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First trading day of August

Tomorrow, Thursday, will be the first trading day (FTD) of August.

As explained in the 2013 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.03% on the August FTD – ranking it 7th of all the monthly FTDs. The index has had a positive return on this day in 62% of years since 1984.

The following chart shows the returns for every August FTD since 1984.

First trading day of the FTSE 100 Index in August

 

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First trading day of July

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of July.

As explained in the 2013 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Along with April, the July FTD has been the strongest FTD of all 12 months: since 1984 the FTSE 100 Index has increased on average 0.44% on this day.

Although from 2000 the average return on the day has been weaker at 0.21%.

The following chart shows the returns for every July FTD since 1984.

FTSE 100 Index, first trading day of June

 

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