First trading day of February

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of February.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.56% on the first trading day of February. The index has had a positive return on this day in 58% of years since 1984.

Since 2000, the performance has been even stronger on the February FTD, with an average return of 0.80% on the day, and with positive returns seen in 75% of years (making it the second strongest month FTD of the year).

The following chart shows the returns for every February FTD since 1984.

First trading day of February (1984-2015)

 

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First trading day of January

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.38% on the first trading day (FTD) of January. The index has had a positive return on this day in 58% of years since 1984.

Since 2000, the performance has been much stronger on the January FTD, with an average return of 0.67% on the day, and with positive returns seen in 69% of years.

The following chart shows the returns for every January FTD since 1984.

FTSE 100 first trading day of January (1984-2015)

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First trading day of June

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of June.

Since 1984 the FTSE 100 Index has on average risen 0.21% on the June FTD, with the month’s return being positive in 55% of years.

The following chart shows the returns for every June FTD since 1984.

First trading day of June (1984-2014)

 

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First trading day of March

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of March.

The market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

However, since 1984 the FTSE 100 Index has on average fallen 0.05% on the March FTD, making it the weakest FTD of any month in the year.

The following chart shows the returns for every March FTD since 1984.

First trading day of March (1984-2014) [2015]

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First trading day of November

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of November.

The market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.17% on the November FTD. The index has had a positive return on this day in 67% of years since 1984.

Since 2000, the performance has been a little stronger on the November FTD, with an average return of 0.2% on the day, with positive returns seen in 79% of years.

The following chart shows the returns for every November FTD since 1984.

First trading day of November (1984-2013) [2014]

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First trading day of October

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of October.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has risen on average 0.19% on the October FTD. The index has had a positive return on this day in 60% of years since 1984.

The following chart shows the returns for every October FTD since 1984.

First trading day of October (1984-2013) [2014]

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First trading day of August

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of August.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has an average return of 0.06% on the August FTD, which makes it the ninth strongest FTD of the year.

The following chart shows the returns for every August FTD since 1984.
First trading day of August (1984-2013) [2014]

 

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First trading day of July

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of July.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has an average return of 0.48% on the July FTD (16 times the average daily return on all days), which makes it the third strongest FTD of the year. Although, as can be seen in the chart, the market has suffered two large falls in the past five years on this day.

The following chart shows the returns for every July FTD since 1984.

First trading day of July (1984-2013) [2014]

 

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First trading day of June

Next Monday will be the first trading day (FTD) of June.

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has a return average of 0.21% on the June FTD, which makes it the seventh strongest FTD of the year. Although, as can be seen in the chart, the market has actually fallen on the first trading of June in the last four years.

The following chart shows the returns for every June FTD since 1984.

First trading day of June (1984-2013) [2014]

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First trading day of May

Tomorrow will be the first trading day (FTD) of May.

As explained in the 2014 edition of the Almanac, the market has a tendency to be strong on the FTD of a month. And this effect has been even more pronounced in recent years.

Since 1984, the FTSE 100 Index has a return average of 0.08% on the May FTD, which makes it the fourth weakest FTD of the year. From 2000 the May FTD return average has been even weaker at 0.03%.

The following chart shows the returns for every May FTD since 1984.

First trading day of May (1984-2013) [2014]a

 

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