Shares that like/dislike January

Shares that like January

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in January over the last ten years. For example, Computacenter has an average return of 9.3% for the month of January. All stocks have risen in January for nine of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Computacenter 9.3
CSR 8.1
Electra Private Equity 6.8
St James’s Place 5.6
Euromoney Institutional Investor 4.4

Shares that dislike January

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in January over the last ten years. For example, Unilever has an average return of -3.2% for the month of January. All five stocks have fallen in eight of the past ten years in January.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) -4.7
Tesco -4.3
GlaxoSmithKline -3.3
Unilever -3.2
Dairy Crest Group -3.2

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong January stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak January stocks by an average of 10.5 percentage points in January for the past ten years.

 

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Shares that like/dislike January

Shares that like January

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in January over the last ten years. For example, Aveva Group has an average return of 6.3% for the month of January. Each stock has risen in every January in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Electra Private Equity 7.2
Aveva Group 6.3
SIG 5.9
St James’s Place 5.6
Euromoney Institutional Investor 4.5

Shares that dislike January

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in January over the last ten years. For example, First Group has an average return of -9.7% for the month of January. All five stocks have fallen in every January in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
FirstGroup -9.7
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) -4.8
Tesco -4.6
GlaxoSmithKline -3.8
Pennon Group -2.5

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong January stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak January stocks by an average of 10.9 percentage points in January for the past ten years.

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Media sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Media sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Media sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the Media sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 3.0 percentage points in January.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been January and November – the sector has under-performed the market only three times in November in the last 14 years.
  2. The weakest month has been September – the sector has out-performed the market only three times in September in the last 14 years.

The 13 stocks in the FTSE 350 Media sector [NMX5550] are-

Aegis Group [AGS] Pearson [PSON]
British Sky Broadcasting Group [BSY] Perform Group  [PER]
Euromoney Institutional Investor [ERM] Reed Elsevier [REL]
Informa [INF] Rightmove [RMV]
ITE Group [ITE] UBM [UBM]
ITV [ITV] WPP Group [WPP]
Moneysupermarket.com Group [MONY]
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