Shares that like/dislike February

Shares that like February

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in February over the last ten years. For example, Fidessa has an average return of 15.1% for the month of February. Each stock has risen in February in nine of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Fidessa Group 15.1
Croda International 9.6
Savills 9.5
BG Group 6.7
Bunzl 6.5

Shares that dislike February

The following table lists the two FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in February over the last ten years. For example, AstraZeneca has an average return of -3.7% for the month of February. Both these two stocks have fallen in February in eight of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
AstraZeneca -3.7
Vodafone Group -2.5

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong February stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak February stocks by an average of 12.6 percentage points in February for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike August

Shares that like August

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in August over the last ten years. For example, Fisher (James) & Sons has an average return of 10.1% for the month of August. Each stock has risen in at least nine of the past ten years in August – Fisher (James) & Sons is the only stock in the FTSE 350 whose shares have risen every August in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Fisher (James) & Sons 10.1
Keller Group 5.2
Bunzl 5.1
Centrica 4.5
Tesco 3.1

A portfolio of these five stocks would have out-performed the FTSE 350 Index in August every year over the last ten years with an average out-performance of 4.9 percentage points each August.

Shares that dislike August

The following table lists the three FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in August over the last ten years. For example, Pennon Group has an average return of -3.2% for the month of August. All three stocks have fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in August.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Pennon Group -3.2
Rio Tinto -2.6
Investec -1.7

A portfolio of these three stocks would have under-performed the FTSE 350 Index in August in eight of the  last ten years with an average under-performance of 3.1 percentage points each August.

 

 

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Bunzl [BNZL] – 56 years on the LSE

On this day in 1957 Bunzl listed on the LSE.

The following chart plots the average monthly out-performance of the shares over the FTSE 100 Index since 1988. For example, on average Bunzl has out-performed the FTSE 100 by 3.9 percentage points in February.

Average monthly performance of Bunzl [BNZL] relative to the FTSE 100 Index (1988-2013)

Observations:

  1. The strongest month for Bunzl shares relative to the market has been February (the shares have out-performed the market in this month in 17 of the last 25 years).
  2. The weakest month for Bunzl relative to the market has been December (the shares have only out-performed the market in this month in 8 of the past 25 years).

Bunzl is in the FTSE 350 Support Services [NMX2790] sector.

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Support Services sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Support Services sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Support Services sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 1.2 percentage points in January.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been January and December – the sector has under-performed the market only four times in December in the last 14 years.
  2. The weakest month has been July – the sector has out-performed the market only four times in July in the last 14 years.

The 23 stocks in the FTSE 350 Support Services sector [NMX2790] are-

Aggreko [AGK] Filtrona [FLTR]
Ashtead Group [AHT] G4S [GFS]
Atkins (W S) [ATK] Hays [HAS]
Babcock International Group [BAB] Homeserve [HSV]
Berendsen [BRSN] Howden Joinery Group [HWDN]
Bunzl [BNZL] Interserve [IRV]
Capita Group (The) [CPI] Intertek Group [ITRK]
Carillion [CLLN] Menzies (John) [MNZS]
De La Rue [DLAR] Michael Page International [MPI]
Diploma [DPLM] MITIE Group [MTO]
Electrocomponents [ECM] PayPoint [PAY]
Experian [EXPN]
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