Shares that like/dislike June

Shares that like June

The following table lists the three FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Synergy has an average return of 11.1% for the month of June. All stocks have risen in June for at least eight of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Synergy Health 11.1
Ted Baker 4.1
RPC Group 5.2

 Shares that dislike June

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Barclays has an average return of -7.8% for the month of June. All five stocks have fallen in at least nine of the past ten years in June.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Barclays -7.8
Travis Perkins -7.1
Bodycote -5.6
Schroders -4.0
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets -3.6

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong June stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak June stocks by an average of 12.4 percentage points in June for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike June

Shares that like June

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Halma has an average return of 6.1% for the month of June. Each stock has risen in June in nine of the past ten years, while Synergy Health is the only FTSE 350 stock to have risen in June for all last ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Synergy Health 10.6
Halma 6.1
Ted Baker 4.7
BT Group 3.3

Shares that dislike June

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Barclays has an average return of -6.5% for the month of June. All four stocks have fallen in June in at least nine of the past yen years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Barclays -6.5
Vesuvius -5.2
United Utilities Group -4.7
Rotork -2.8

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong June stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak June stocks by an average of 11.0 percentage points in June for the past ten years.

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Personal Goods sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Personal Goods sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Personal Goods sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 4.4 percentage points in July.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been April and July – the sector has under-performed the market only four times in July since 1999.
  2. The sector has no consistently weak months; although the sector has under-performed the market by an average of 0.2 percentage points in December, the sector has actually out-performed the market that month in nine of the past 14 years.

The four stocks in the FTSE 350 Personal Goods sector [NMX3760] are-

Burberry Group [BRBY] SuperGroup [SGP]
PZ Cussons [PZC] Ted Baker [TED]
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FTSE 350 share performance in 1H 2013

The following table shows the top ten performing shares in the FTSE 350 Index for the first six months of 2013.

Company TIDM Chng 1H 2013(%)
Ocado Group 244.3
Thomas Cook Group 210.7
Xaar 180.3
easyJet 69.3
Bank of Georgia Holdings 62.1
CSR 61.5
3i Group 55.4
Ted Baker 53.0
Ashtead Group 51.4
Barratt Developments 49.1

And the following table shows the worst ten performing shares in the FTSE 350 Index for the first six months of 2013.

Company TIDM Chng 1H 2013(%)
African Barrick Gold Ltd -78.2
Hochschild Mining -68.0
Kazakhmys -66.7
Evraz -62.7
Polymetal International -61.4
Fresnillo -52.2
Ferrexpo -47.0
FirstGroup -43.5
Antofagasta -40.0
Anglo American -33.2

 

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Shares that like/dislike June

Shares that like June

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Halma has an average return of 7.3% for the month of June. Each stock has risen in at least nine of the past ten years in June – Halma and Synergy are the only two stocks in the FTSE 350 whose shares have risen every June in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
BT Group 3.7
Halma 7.3
Synergy Health 13.8
Ted Baker 4.2

A portfolio of these four stocks would have out-performed the FTSE 350 Index in June in nine of the last ten years with an average out-performance of 7.9 percentage points each June.

Shares that dislike June

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in June over the last ten years. For example, Land Securities has an average return of -3.6% for the month of June. Each stock has fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in June.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Barclays -4.8
Land Securities Group -3.6
Rotork -2.3
United Utilities Group -4.1
Vesuvius -4.7

A portfolio of these five stocks would have under-performed the FTSE 350 Index in every June over the last ten years with an average under-performance of 3.2 percentage points each June.

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