Shares that like/dislike May

Shares that like May

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in May over the last ten years. For example, Cranswick has an average return of 4.6% for the month of May. Each stock has risen in May in at least eight of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Babcock International Group 6.0
Cranswick 4.6
3i Group 4.1
Severn Trent 3.6

Shares that dislike May

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in May over the last ten years. For example, Taylor Wimpey has an average return of -11.0% for the month of May. All five stocks have fallen in May in at least eight of the past yen years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Taylor Wimpey -11.0
Petra Diamonds Ltd -8.4
Workspace Group -4.9
Sainsbury (J) -3.6
Stagecoach Group -3.3

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong May stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak May stocks by an average of 10.8 percentage points in May for the past ten years.

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Travel & Leisure sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Travel & Leisure sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Travel & Leisure sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 2.1 percentage points in November.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been November and December – the sector has under-performed the market only three times in November in the last 14 years.
  2. The sector has no consistently weak months; although the sector has under-performed the market by an average of 2.6 percentage points in October, the sector has actually out-performed the market that month in eight of the past 14 years.

The 23 stocks in the FTSE 350 Travel & Leisure sector [NMX5750] are-

Betfair Group [BET] Ladbrokes [LAD]
Bwin.Party Digital Entertainment [BPTY] Marston’s [MARS]
Carnival [CCL] Millennium & Copthorne Hotels [MLC]
Compass Group [CPG] Mitchells & Butlers [MAB]
Domino’s Pizza UK & IRL [DOM] National Express Group [NEX]
easyJet [EZJ] Playtech Ltd [PTEC]
Enterprise Inns [ETI] Rank Group (The) [RNK]
FirstGroup [FGP] Restaurant Group (The) [RTN]
Go-Ahead Group (The) [GOG] Stagecoach Group [SGC]
Greene King [GNK] TUI Travel [TT.]
InterContinental Hotels Group [IHG] Wetherspoon (J D) [JDW]
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA [IAG]
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