Shares that like/dislike April

Shares that like April

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Fenner has an average return of 9.11% for the month of April. All stocks have risen in April for at least eight of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Fenner 9.1
Royal Dutch Shell 5.4
Aberdeen Asset Management 4.6
Severn Trent 3.9
SABMiller 3.6

Shares that dislike April

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Balfour Beatty has an average return of -4.4% for the month of April. All four stocks have fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in April.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Balfour Beatty -4.4
Reed Elsevier -2.3
BAE Systems -1.6
UNITE Group 0.6

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong April stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak April stocks by an average of 7.3 percentage points in April for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike April

Shares that like April

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Menzies has an average return of 12.6% for the month of April. Each stock has risen in April in nine of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Menzies (John) 12.6
Xaar 10.0
Diploma 6.8
Royal Dutch Shell 5.6
Severn Trent 4.1

Shares that dislike April

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Balfour Beatty has an average return of -4.1% for the month of April. All four stocks have fallen in April in at least eight of the past yen years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Balfour Beatty -4.1
Centamin -2.8
Shire -0.8
UNITE Group 0.5

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong April stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak April stocks by an average of 9.6 percentage points in April for the past ten years.

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Oil & Gas Producers sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Oil & Gas Producers sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Oil & Gas Producers sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the Oil & Gas Producers sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 2.4 percentage points in March.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been March and June – the sector has under-performed the market only three times in March in the last 13 years.
  2. The weakest month has been November – the sector has out-performed the market only six times in march in the last 14 years.

The 13 stocks in the FTSE 350 Oil & Gas Producers sector [NMX0530] are-

Afren [AFR] Ophir Energy [OPHR]
BG Group [BG.] Premier Oil [PMO]
BP [BP.] Royal Dutch Shell [RDSB]
Cairn Energy [CNE] Salamander Energy [SMDR]
EnQuest [ENQ] SOCO International [SIA]
Essar Energy [ESSR] Tullow Oil [TLW]
Heritage Oil Ltd [HOIL]
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Influence of largest companies on FTSE 100 Index

The following chart shows the impact on the FTSE 100 Index of a 10% move in the share price of each of the 20 largest companies in the index. [The reference level for the FTSE 100 is 6318.]

For example, if the share price of Shell fell (rose) 10% the impact on the FTSE 100 Index would be a fall (rise) of 49 points in the index.

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