Shares that like/dislike July

Shares that like July

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in July over the last ten years. For example, Greene King has an average return of 7.3% for the month of July. Each stock has risen in July in nine of the past ten years, while Greene King is the only FTSE 350 stock to have risen in July for all the last ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Pace 17.6
Greene King 7.3
Brown (N) Group 6.7
Wetherspoon (J D) 5.2
Dairy Crest Group 4.7

Shares that dislike July

The following table lists the two FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in July over the last ten years. For example, Petra Diamonds has an average return of -6.6% for the month of July. Both stocks have fallen in July in eight of the past yen years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Petra Diamonds Ltd -6.6
Man Group -1.6

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong July stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak July stocks by an average of 12.4 percentage points each July for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike September

Shares that like September

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in September over the last ten years. For example, Diploma has an average return of 6.3% for the month of September. Each stock has risen in at least eight of the past ten years in September – Diploma is the only stock in the FTSE 350 whose shares have risen nine times in September in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Ashtead Group 8.4
Aberdeen Asset Management 8.0
JPMorgan Indian Investment Trust 6.6
Diploma 6.3
Carnival 4.1

Shares that dislike September

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in September over the last ten years. For example, Premier Farnell has an average return of -8.0% for the month of September. All five stocks have fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in September; Premier Farnell is the only stock in the FTSE 350 whose shares have fallen nine times in September in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Premier Farnell -8.0
Pace -8.0
Compass Group -4.8
SVG Capital -3.7
Carpetright -3.7

Strategy

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong September stocks would have out-performed an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak September stocks by an average of 12.3 percentage points in September for the past ten years.

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Technology Hardware & Equipment sector monthly seasonality analysis

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Technology Hardware & Equipment sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Technology Hardware & Equipment sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 4.0 percentage points in July.

Observations:

  1. The strongest months have been July and November – the sector has under-performed the market only three times in July in the last 14 years.
  2. The weakest months have been February and September – the sector has out-performed the market only five times in February in the last 13 years.

The six stocks in the FTSE 350 Technology Hardware & Equipment sector [NMX9570] are-

ARM Holdings [ARM] Laird [LRD]
CSR [CSR] Pace [PIC]
Imagination Technologies Group [IMG] Spirent Communications [SPT]
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