Croda International [CRDA] – 50 years on the LSE

On this day in 1964 Croda International listed on the LSE.

Monthly seasonality of Croda International

The following chart plots the average monthly out-performance of the shares over the FTSE 100 Index since 1988. For example, on average Croda International has out-performed the FTSE 100 by 4.4 percentage points in February.

Monthly seasonality of shares [CRDA] (2014)Observations

  • The strongest month for Croda International shares relative to the market has been February (the shares have out-performed the market in this month in 19 of the last 25 years).
  • The weakest month for Croda International relative to the market has been October (the shares have only out-performed the market in this month in 9 of the past 25 years).

 

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Shares that like/dislike February

Shares that like February

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in February over the last ten years. For example, Fidessa has an average return of 15.1% for the month of February. Each stock has risen in February in nine of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Fidessa Group 15.1
Croda International 9.6
Savills 9.5
BG Group 6.7
Bunzl 6.5

Shares that dislike February

The following table lists the two FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in February over the last ten years. For example, AstraZeneca has an average return of -3.7% for the month of February. Both these two stocks have fallen in February in eight of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
AstraZeneca -3.7
Vodafone Group -2.5

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong February stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak February stocks by an average of 12.6 percentage points in February for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike February

Shares that like February

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best historic returns in February over the last ten years. For example, Fidessa has an average return of 14.9% for the month of February. Each stock has risen in nine of the past ten years in February.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Fidessa Group FDSA 14.9
Imagination Technologies Group IMG 13.5
Croda International CRDA 9.6
Xstrata XTA 8.3
Provident Financial PFG 7.0

A portfolio of these five stocks would have out-performed the FTSE 350 Index in every February over the last ten years with an average out-performance of 9.5 percentage points each February.

Shares that dislike February

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the worst historic returns in February over the last ten years. For example, AstraZeneca has an average return of -3.5% for the month of February. Each stock has fallen in at least seven of the past ten years in February.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Greene King GNK -1.4
AVEVA Group AVV -1.5
Vodafone Group VOD -1.7
BTG BTG -2.5
AstraZeneca AZN -3.5

A portfolio of these five stocks would have under-performed the FTSE 350 Index in every February over the last ten years with an average under-performance of 3.3 percentage points each February.

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Chemical sector starts its 9-month out-performance of the FTSE 100

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. The following chart looks at the chemicals sector.

The chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Chemicals sector over the FTSE 100 Index since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the chemicals sector has out-performed the FTSE Index by 1.5 percentage points in January.

Observations:

  1. The strongest month for the chemicals sector has been July; while the weakest has been September.
  2. From November, the chemicals sector has a continuous 9-month run of out-performing the general market.

The seven stocks in the FTSE 350 Chemicals sector [NMX1350] are:

Croda Intl. [CRDA] Morgan Crucible [MGCR]
Elementis [ELM] Victrex [VCT]
Filtrona [FLTR] Yule Catto [YULC]
Johnson Matthey [JMAT]
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