Shares that like/dislike April

Shares that like April

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Fenner has an average return of 9.11% for the month of April. All stocks have risen in April for at least eight of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Fenner 9.1
Royal Dutch Shell 5.4
Aberdeen Asset Management 4.6
Severn Trent 3.9
SABMiller 3.6

Shares that dislike April

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Balfour Beatty has an average return of -4.4% for the month of April. All four stocks have fallen in at least eight of the past ten years in April.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Balfour Beatty -4.4
Reed Elsevier -2.3
BAE Systems -1.6
UNITE Group 0.6

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong April stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak April stocks by an average of 7.3 percentage points in April for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike December (2014)

Shares that like December

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in December over the last ten years. For example, G4S has an average return of 6.3% for the month of December. All stocks, except Ashtead, have risen in every December for the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
G4S 6.3
Balfour Beatty 6.1
William Hill 5.0
Witan Investment Trust 4.8
Ashtead Group 13.4

Shares that dislike December

The following table lists the two FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in December over the last ten years. For example, Rank Group has an average return of -4.2% for the month of December. Both stocks have fallen in seven of the past ten years in December.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Randgold Resources Ltd -1.8
Rank Group (The) -4.2

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong December stocks would have out-performed every year, except 2008, an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak December stocks by an average of 10.1 percentage points in December for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike April

Shares that like April

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Menzies has an average return of 12.6% for the month of April. Each stock has risen in April in nine of the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Menzies (John) 12.6
Xaar 10.0
Diploma 6.8
Royal Dutch Shell 5.6
Severn Trent 4.1

Shares that dislike April

The following table lists the four FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in April over the last ten years. For example, Balfour Beatty has an average return of -4.1% for the month of April. All four stocks have fallen in April in at least eight of the past yen years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Balfour Beatty -4.1
Centamin -2.8
Shire -0.8
UNITE Group 0.5

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong April stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak April stocks by an average of 9.6 percentage points in April for the past ten years.

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Shares that like/dislike December

Shares that like December

The following table lists the five FTSE 350 shares that have the best returns in December over the last ten years. For example, William Hill has an average return of 5.5% for the month of December. Each stock has risen in every December in the past ten years.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
William Hill 5.5
Balfour Beatty 5.4
JPMorgan Emerging Markets Inv Trust 5.2
Witan Investment Trust 4.8
Alliance Trust 3.8

Shares that dislike December

The following table lists the three FTSE 350 shares that have the worst returns in December over the last ten years. For example, Centamin has an average return of -3.7% for the month of December. All three stocks have fallen in seven of the past ten years in December.

Company TIDM Avg(%)
Centamin -3.7
Rank Group (The) -3.7
Amlin -1.5

An equally-weighted portfolio of the above strong December stocks would have out-performed every year an equally-weighted portfolio of the above weak December stocks by an average of 7.9 percentage points in December for the past ten years.

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Construction & Materials sector monthly seasonality analysis: strong 3-month run from December to February

The 2013 edition of the Almanac looks at the historic monthly performance of the FTSE 350 sectors. Here we look at the Construction & Materials sector.

The following chart plots the average out-performance of the FTSE 350 Construction & Materials sector over the FTSE 100 Index by month since 1999. For example, since 1999 on average the Construction & Materials sector has out-performed the FTSE 100 Index by 3.1 percentage points in January.

Observations:

  1. The sector is strong relative to the whole market from November to March.
  2. The strongest months are December, January and February – the sector has under-performed the market only twice in the past 13 years in February.
  3. The weakest month has been October – the sector has out-performed the market only four times in this month in the last 14 years.

The four stocks in the FTSE 350 Construction & Materials sector [NMX2350] are-

Balfour Beatty [BBY]
CRH [CRH]
Galliford Try [GFRD]
Kier Group [KIE]
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Balfour Beatty [BBY] – 68 years on the LSE

On this day in 1945 Balfour Beatty listed on the LSE.

The following chart plots the average monthly out-performance of the shares over the FTSE 100 Index since 1988. For example, on average Balfour Beatty has out-performed the FTSE 100 by 3.8 percentage points in March.

Average monthly performance of Balfour Beatty [BBY] relative to the FTSE 100 Index (1988-2013)

Observations:

  1. The strongest month for Balfour Beatty shares relative to the market has been March (the shares have out-performed the market in this month in 16 of the last 25 years).
  2. The weakest month for Balfour Beatty relative to the market has been October (the shares have only out-performed the market in this month in 6 of the past 25 years). In recent years BBY has also been weak in April – it has fallen every April in the years 2004-2013.

Balfour Beatty is in the FTSE 350 Construction & Materials [NMX2350] sector.

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